Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.032284 0.035254 0.038244 0.041474 0.044857 0.048292 0.052036
2025-12-21 0.027926 0.032346 0.036941 0.042051 0.047553 0.053276 0.059660
2025-12-28 0.023448 0.028793 0.034527 0.041079 0.048306 0.055986 0.064718
2026-01-04 0.020505 0.026585 0.033294 0.041143 0.049981 0.059538 0.070573
2026-01-11 0.018396 0.025085 0.032657 0.041703 0.052068 0.063440 0.076736
2026-01-18 0.016574 0.023732 0.032037 0.042150 0.053921 0.067003 0.082461
2026-01-25 0.013969 0.021216 0.029869 0.040640 0.053397 0.067771 0.084955
2026-02-01 0.012234 0.019621 0.028675 0.040163 0.053972 0.069715 0.088712
2026-02-08 0.010861 0.018369 0.027805 0.039990 0.054835 0.071934 0.092739
2026-02-15 0.010240 0.018051 0.028057 0.041149 0.057259 0.075952 0.098831
2026-02-22 0.009569 0.017606 0.028102 0.042018 0.059307 0.079511 0.104383
2026-03-01 0.008803 0.016964 0.027846 0.042472 0.060820 0.082420 0.109160
2026-03-08 0.007933 0.016130 0.027318 0.042583 0.061940 0.084904 0.113505
2026-03-15 0.007465 0.015852 0.027514 0.043612 0.064193 0.088753 0.119479
2026-03-22 0.006436 0.014634 0.026366 0.042847 0.064172 0.089839 0.122159
2026-03-29 0.005808 0.013986 0.025965 0.043032 0.065323 0.092328 0.126504
2026-04-05 0.005372 0.013608 0.025920 0.043669 0.067032 0.095491 0.131651
2026-04-12 0.004933 0.013184 0.025782 0.044161 0.068543 0.098404 0.136497
2026-04-19 0.004011 0.011820 0.024196 0.042625 0.067398 0.098009 0.137317
2026-04-26 0.003444 0.011022 0.023405 0.042143 0.067589 0.099245 0.140098
2026-05-03 0.003002 0.010406 0.022854 0.041969 0.068162 0.100944 0.143434
2026-05-10 0.002880 0.010416 0.023273 0.043165 0.070545 0.104915 0.149559
2026-05-17 0.002707 0.010301 0.023486 0.044059 0.072527 0.108383 0.155071